Smurfit Westrock Stock Plunges 7%, Wiping Out $1.6 Billion, After Cut To 2026 Outlook
The packaging maker cut its 2026 adjusted EBITDA outlook to near $4.7 billion as freight and energy costs outran its price increases.
Smurfit Westrock, the paper-based packaging maker, saw its shares fall 7.22% to $39.47 in Wednesday trading as of 12:50 p.m. ET, erasing $1.6 billion in market value, on the day it lowered its full-year earnings outlook. Third-quarter earnings came in below last year's as freight and energy inflation ran ahead of price increases.
Outlook cut to near $4.7 billion
In an SEC filing, the company cut its 2026 adjusted EBITDA outlook (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) to near $4.7 billion.
Third-quarter adjusted earnings were $0.45 a share, against $0.58 a year earlier. Revenue rose to $8,161 million from $8,003 million, the company reported.
On the earnings call, management said it expects to absorb about $700 million of extra freight and energy costs this year. The full benefit of its price increases will arrive in 2027, it said.
A box maker with 57 mills
Smurfit Westrock makes corrugated boxes from containerboard, plus folding cartons and other consumer packaging, and employs about 97,000 people. According to its 10-K for 2025, it runs 57 paper mills and 450 converting plants across 40 countries. North America made up 58.5% of 2025 net sales to external customers, and most products went to makers of fast-moving consumer goods.
Its market value stood at about $21 billion intraday after the drop.
A stock that had held up
Shares were up about 10% for the year at Tuesday's close, trailing the S&P 500's gain of about 13%. Wednesday's drop was on pace to be the biggest one-day fall since Oct. 29, 2025, when the shares fell 12.2%.
In its latest quarterly filing, for the period ended June 30, the company reported revenue of $8 billion, up 1.2% from a year earlier, net income of $89 million and an operating margin of 3.9%.
Management said October volumes are in line with last year and that it is watching the outcome of the U.S. midterm elections as it gauges November demand.
Sources
- Smurfit Westrock Sinks 10% on Q3 Miss as “Unprecedented Cost Inflation” Hits Margins — Yahoo Finance
- Smurfit Westrock anticipates $700M hit in 2026 from cost inflation — Yahoo Finance
- SW Q3 Earnings Miss Estimates on Higher Costs, Weak Volumes — Yahoo Finance
- Smurfit Westrock Shares Slide After Higher Costs Pressure Earnings — MarketWatch
- Smurfit Westrock Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results – Company Announcement - FT.com — Financial Times
- The company's filing (Smurfit Westrock) — SEC filing
- Smurfit Westrock (SW) Lags Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates — Zacks Investment Research
- Smurfit Westrock — Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 2026-06-30 (quarterly results) — SEC EDGAR